This is an important week on college and university campuses across the country. My colleagues and I are busy grading the many papers and exams that come in at the end of the semester. Our graduating seniors are celebrating the (we, and they, hope) successful end of their undergraduate experience. And admission directors are expectantly checking the numbers of our incoming classes—we used to call them freshmen; now, “first year student “ seems to be the term of art.
But we denizens of college campuses are not the only ones thinking about higher education. Politicians and pundits have gotten in on the act, and you know that when that happens, trouble follows.
I’ll leave aside the constant scrutiny and meddling that is the price we pay for the government grants and guaranteed loans that help our students afford their educations and that have enabled them, collectively, to go into more than $1 trillion in debt.
If a couple of recent op-eds are to be believed, that’s just the tip of a very big iceberg.
Let me start with Katrina vanden Heuvel in the Washington Post. Her solution to the heavy load of student debt is to make public colleges and universities free. We can afford it, she insists, since it would only cost us $30 billion a year, a sum we can surely squeeze in one way or another from the very wealthy. To begin with, I frankly don’t know where she gets that number, as my back-of-the-envelope calculations come up with a number roughly three times as large. In 2009, roughly 14.8 million students were enrolled in public colleges and universities. The average tuition room and board at those institutions was $12,800. Generously assuming that half of that cost went to room and board leaves $6400 for average annual tuition. Do the math and you get a number somewhat north of $90 billion.
I’m sure there are ways of driving that number down. Forcing most students to start at two year colleges, for example, would surely reduce tuition costs. Putting more instruction online everywhere would also likely lower instructional costs and hence tuition.
On the other hand, when you make something free, you inevitably increase demand for it, which is surely one of the things that many of those who fret about the cost of higher education want. The talk is always about access. Lower the out-of-pocket cost, and you presumably increase access. More access means higher enrollment, and higher enrollment means higher cost to those who are providing the subsidy.
And then there’s this: tuition represents only part of the cost of educating a student. The average public contribution to the cost of educating a student ranges from 70% (at community colleges) to 50% (at prestigious public research universities). Let’s generously assume that state taxpayers provide a dollar-for-dollar match for the tuition students pay (whatever its source). Because more students will choose to attend public colleges and universities “for free,” the cost to taxpayers will go up. This is not speculative. In Georgia, for example, there were just under 164,000 students enrolled in the state system in 1993, when the HOPE Scholarship was inaugurated. By 2005, enrollment had climbed to over 218,000. Over that same period, state appropriations went from $1 billion to $1.4 billion.
In the end, I don’t know what the real cost of vanden Heuvel’s proposal would be. I just know that $30 billion is exceedingly low, and that any such federal program would put the states on the hook for a good deal more. This is beginning to sound an awful lot like the healthcare reform discussions of a couple of years ago.
But, you could argue, money spent on higher education is money well-spent. It’s an investment, in other words. Well, perhaps, if the education and credentials the students receive enables them to be (proverbially) more productive members of society.
That’s the point of Frank Bruni’s New York Times column. Here’s the core of his argument:
According to an Associated Press analysis of data from 2011, 53.6 percent of college graduates under the age of 25 were unemployed or, if they were lucky, merely underemployed, which means they were in jobs for which their degrees weren’t necessary. Philosophy majors mull questions no more existential than the proper billowiness of the foamed milk atop a customer’s cappuccino. Anthropology majors contemplate the tribal behavior of the youngsters who shop at the Zara where they peddle skinny jeans.
I single out philosophy and anthropology because those are two fields — along with zoology, art history and humanities — whose majors are least likely to find jobs reflective of their education level, according to government projections quoted by the Associated Press. But how many college students are fully aware of that? How many reroute themselves into, say, teaching, accounting, nursing or computer science, where degree-relevant jobs are easier to find? Not nearly enough, judging from the angry, dispossessed troops of Occupy Wall Street.
The thing is, today’s graduates aren’t just entering an especially brutal economy. They’re entering it in many cases with the wrong portfolios. To wit: as a country we routinely grant special visas to highly educated workers from countries like China and India. They possess scientific and technical skills that American companies need but that not enough American students are acquiring.
Now, I’m as happy as the next guy—nay, happier than the next guy—to argue that the value of a college education (especially a liberal education) can’t be measured in mere dollars and cents. A philosophy major who happens for the moment to be a barrista may be capable of quite deep thinking on and off the job. Someone whose imagination and moral sensibilities have been formed by an encounter with great literature might be an excellent parent and fellow citizen.
What troubles me at the moment is not so much Bruni’s impoverished and merely utilitarian view of the purposes of higher education; rather, it’s his proposed solution to the mismatch between what our students are learning and what our economy needs. “I’d…call for government and university incentives to steer students into the fields of studies that will serve them and society best. We use taxes to influence behavior. Why not student aid?” So the government knows better than students what’s good for them? To be sure, he uses the gentle language of incentives, and not the compulsion of central planning, but the fact remains that, for Bruni, the incentives provided by the marketplace (there are jobs for accountants, but not for anthropologists) just aren’t good enough, or rather strong enough. We can’t leave it to students, parents, and professors; we’ve got to get the government involved.
Once again, I hear echoes of the healthcare debate.
If you take the wishful thinking of two columnists for our two most prominent newspapers of record, what you get is, in effect, a federal takeover of higher education. We’ll pay for the whole thing, and tell you what to study, because we know what areas of study serve society and you best.
There are all sorts of problems in American higher education. But this cure is so much worse than the disease.



